Will Bitcoin be above $149999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET?
YES means Before January 2027
- 24h volume
- 30.8k
- 1.42M lifetime
- Open interest
- 664.5k
- +131.3k over 30d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 104 × 8,170 at the touch
- 24h range
- 2¢ – 5¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 97¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1111¢
- ask1110¢
- ask229¢
- ask4.328¢
- ask17¢
- ask3,0016¢
- ask22.0k5¢
- ask8,1704¢
- bid1043¢
- bid15.0k2¢
- bid305.1k1¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the price of Bitcoin is above || Count || by || Date || at || Time ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Contract is settled by taking an average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. Data is used 24/7 to resolve the contract.
- opened
- Apr 4 · 5:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
- floor
- 149999.99
- ticker
- KXBTCMAX150-25-26DEC31-149999.99
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | 3¢ | 1.15 | bought yes |
| 4h ago | 3¢ | 78 | bought yes |
| 4h ago | 3¢ | 0.98 | bought yes |
| 4h ago | 4¢ | 9.86 | bought yes |
| 5h ago | 3¢ | 0.08 | bought yes |
| 5h ago | 3¢ | 22 | bought yes |
| 5h ago | 3¢ | 0.01 | bought yes |
| 5h ago | 3¢ | 2.04 | bought yes |
| 7h ago | 2¢ | 2,528 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 3¢ | 470 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 3¢ | 1.75 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 3¢ | 2,000 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 3¢ | 2,397 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 3¢ | 2,528 | bought no |
| 7h ago | 3¢ | 3.69 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.