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When will bitcoin hit 150k?·closed · NO

Will Bitcoin be above $149999.99 by Jul 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET?

YES means Before August 2026

24h volume
0
889.4k lifetime
Open interest
486.0k
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of Bitcoin is above 149999.99 by || Date || at || Time ||, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Contract is settled by taking an average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. Data is used 24/7 to resolve the contract.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 4 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
149999.99
ticker
KXBTCMAX150-25-26JUL31-149999.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago1¢40bought yes
2mo ago1¢97bought yes
2mo ago1¢10bought yes
2mo ago1¢1bought yes
2mo ago1¢281bought yes
2mo ago1¢10bought yes
2mo ago1¢468bought yes
2mo ago1¢94bought yes
2mo ago1¢487bought yes
2mo ago1¢1bought yes
2mo ago1¢1,870bought yes
2mo ago1¢48bought yes
2mo ago1¢47bought yes
2mo ago1¢48bought yes
2mo ago1¢97bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.