KXBTCMAXMON·closes in 26d

Will BTC trimmed mean be above $95000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?

YES means Above $95,000.00

24h volume
17.2k
62.7k lifetime
Open interest
49.7k
Spread
1¢
1,003 × 11 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%+5

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,23899¢
  • ask7098¢
  • ask197¢
  • ask192¢
  • ask43615¢
  • ask1,21714¢
  • ask9,73713¢
  • ask1112¢
spread1¢mid 12¢
  • bid1,00311¢
  • bid5,81010¢
  • bid6059¢
  • bid2857¢
  • bid3456¢
  • bid5005¢
  • bid5084¢
  • bid1,2343¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026 is ever above $ 95000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

opened
Nov 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
95000
ticker
KXBTCMAXMON-BTC-26NOV30-9500000
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago11¢500bought no
4h ago11¢2.63bought no
9h ago11¢0.91bought no
9h ago11¢1.82bought no
10h ago12¢39bought yes
11h ago13¢25bought yes
11h ago13¢10bought yes
11h ago13¢0.06bought yes
11h ago13¢62bought yes
11h ago12¢2.56bought yes
12h ago12¢5.96bought no
12h ago12¢4.04bought no
13h ago13¢0.83bought yes
13h ago13¢198bought no
13h ago10¢2.26bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.