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BTC one touch minimum·closes in 26d

Will BTC trimmed mean be below $70000.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?

YES means Below $70,000.00

24h volume
7,313
13.4k lifetime
Open interest
10.3k
Spread
1¢
200 × 4,000 at the touch
24h range
18¢ – 45¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%−17

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 81¢
24h low 18¢24h high 45¢
Recent buying77% YES · 23% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask192¢
  • ask22232¢
  • ask7828¢
  • ask15726¢
  • ask6825¢
  • ask34924¢
  • ask4.1322¢
  • ask4,00020¢
spread1¢mid 19¢
  • bid20019¢
  • bid1,09518¢
  • bid6,51817¢
  • bid20616¢
  • bid814¢
  • bid812¢
  • bid6011¢
  • bid1189¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026 is ever below $70000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC
cap
70000
ticker
KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26NOV30-7000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago20¢2bought yes
4h ago20¢1.16bought no
4h ago20¢19bought no
5h ago21¢519bought yes
6h ago22¢1bought no
6h ago22¢3bought no
7h ago22¢208bought yes
8h ago25¢20bought yes
8h ago23¢74bought yes
8h ago19¢106bought yes
8h ago22¢8bought yes
8h ago24¢8bought yes
8h ago19¢34bought yes
8h ago20¢1,000bought yes
8h ago23¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.