Will BTC trimmed mean be below $67500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?
YES means Below $67,500.00
- 24h volume
- 1,305
- 63.2k lifetime
- Open interest
- 27.9k
- +27.9k over 30d
- Spread
- 1¢
- 1,692 × 4,126 at the touch
- 24h range
- 1¢ – 23¢
A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 98¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask23.1k99¢
- ask11.5k16¢
- ask1,9848¢
- ask3,0687¢
- ask506¢
- ask1,7895¢
- ask4,1894¢
- ask4,1263¢
- bid1,6922¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $67500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.
- opened
- Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
- closes
- Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
- cap
- 67500
- ticker
- KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26SEP30-6750000
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.