Canada winning Stanley Cup·closes in 46mo

Will a Canadian team win the Stanley Cup® by the end of the 2030 season?

YES means Before 2031

24h volume
9.85
6,971 lifetime
Open interest
1,106
−15 over 7d
Spread
10¢
6.38 × 90 at the touch
24h range
47¢ – 47¢
30 recent trades
Chance of YES
47%+11

A YES contract costs 47¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
53%

costs 63¢

YES bid / ask
37¢ / 47¢
NO bid / ask
53¢ / 63¢
24h low 47¢24h high 47¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

30¢35¢40¢45¢50¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask39991¢
  • ask5289¢
  • ask2186¢
  • ask18985¢
  • ask4784¢
  • ask4.1583¢
  • ask9062¢
  • ask9047¢
spread10¢mid 42¢
  • bid6.3837¢
  • bid1236¢
  • bid10027¢
  • bid2125¢
  • bid40720¢
  • bid6514¢
  • bid5,88813¢
  • bid9012¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a Canadian hockey team wins the Stanley Cup® after Issuance and before Jun 30, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 13, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jun 30, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jun 30, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCANADACUP-30
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Canadian Team to Win the Stanley Cup® Before the 2030-31 Season.

Recent trades

Over the last 30 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago47¢9.85bought yes
6d ago36¢15bought no
7d ago47¢3bought yes
11d ago46¢5bought yes
11d ago47¢5.35bought yes
13d ago47¢10bought yes
14d ago46¢10bought yes
17d ago35¢7.5bought no
18d ago46¢56bought yes
20d ago47¢1.38bought yes
21d ago37¢7.73bought no
1mo ago37¢8bought no
1mo ago36¢30bought no
2mo ago38¢10bought no
2mo ago48¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.