Will Trump impose capital controls before 2029?
YES means Before 2029
- 24h volume
- 0
- 6,032 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,661
- −61 over 90d
- Spread
- 5¢
- 65 × 305 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 12 recent trades
A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 83¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask6,46687¢
- ask53276¢
- ask2,39369¢
- ask3,05868¢
- ask3,00050¢
- ask2,51649¢
- ask4948¢
- ask30522¢
- bid6517¢
- bid20013¢
- bid19¢
- bid1.196¢
- bid285¢
- bid405¢
- bid523¢
- bid33¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the United States has imposed new capital controls in an attempt to limit capital from leaving the United States and going to any country (as opposed to on one specific country) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Examples of capital controls for the purposes of this Contract include: direct restrictions on outbound transfers (e.g. a regulation requiring government approval or an outright ban on transactions outside of the country above some threshold), asset freeze orders (e.g. ordering banks not to issue cash en masse), setting a rule on the absolute cap of cash that can be physically carried out of the country (as opposed to merely mandating reporting of an amount), foreign exchange purchase limits, and new reporting requirements on capital transfers. Restrictions on capital from coming into the United States are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- opened
- Feb 21, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXCAPCONTROL-29
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will Trump impose capital controls?.
Recent trades
Over the last 12 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 17¢ | 5.87 | bought no |
| 19d ago | 22¢ | 9 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 17¢ | 40 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 17¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 17¢ | 98 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 19¢ | 0.11 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 19¢ | 4 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 19¢ | 54 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 19¢ | 60 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 19¢ | 6.87 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 17¢ | 0.11 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 19¢ | 10 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.