Cape Verde presidential election·closes in 14mo

Will MpD win the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election?

YES means MpD

24h volume: 0; 358 lifetime
Open interest: 130
Spread: 7¢; 500 × 5 at the touch
24h range: –; 1 recent trades

Chance of YES

31%

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

69%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask

11¢ / 18¢

NO bid / ask

82¢ / 89¢

Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If MpD wins the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources

Comissão Nacional de Eleições

opened: Jul 8 · 9:37 PM UTC
closes: Nov 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXCAPEVERDEPRES-26NOV15-MPD

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 117¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1mo ago	31¢	73	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.