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Cape Verde presidential election·closes in 14mo

Will PAICV win the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election?

YES means PAICV

24h volume
0
3,667 lifetime
Open interest
2,632
Spread
5¢
10 × 10 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
81%

A YES contract costs 87¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
19%

costs 18¢

YES bid / ask
82¢ / 87¢
NO bid / ask
13¢ / 18¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask1,05698¢
  • ask43897¢
  • ask50089¢
  • ask1087¢
spread5¢mid 85¢
  • bid1082¢
  • bid50081¢
  • bid52141¢
  • bid73740¢
  • bid52615¢
  • bid8313¢
  • bid3,6503¢
  • bid6,0502¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If PAICV wins the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 8 · 9:37 PM UTC
closes
Nov 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCAPEVERDEPRES-26NOV15-PAICV
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 117¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago81¢500bought no
2d ago82¢10bought no
14d ago73¢500bought yes
23d ago71¢305bought yes
23d ago70¢5bought yes
25d ago68¢500bought yes
1mo ago68¢500bought yes
1mo ago67¢5bought yes
1mo ago68¢15bought yes
1mo ago68¢267bought yes
1mo ago68¢500bought yes
1mo ago67¢5bought yes
1mo ago68¢10bought yes
1mo ago67¢10bought yes
1mo ago67¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.