Cape Verde presidential election·closes in 14mo

Will UCID win the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election?

YES means UCID

24h volume: 0; 1 lifetime
Open interest: 1
Spread: 3¢; 50 × 500 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

95%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask

1¢ / 4¢

NO bid / ask

96¢ / 99¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask5099¢
ask1,46573¢
ask24772¢
ask671¢
ask115¢
ask5004¢

spread3¢mid 3¢

bid501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UCID wins the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources

opened: Jul 8 · 9:37 PM UTC
closes: Nov 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXCAPEVERDEPRES-26NOV15-UCID

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.