KXCEOLVMH·closes in 87mo

Will Bernard Arnault leave as LVMH CEO before Jan 1, 2034?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2034

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
7¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 65¢

YES bid / ask
35¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 65¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the CEO of LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE has announced, or it has been announced on their behalf, that they have left their position as CEO after issuance and before Jan 1, 2034, then the market resolves to Yes.

The CEO covered by this event is Bernard Arnault, the CEO of LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE at issuance. The CEO must actually leave their position; announcing a future departure alone does not qualify. The departure must be announced by the CEO or on their behalf after issuance and before the specified date. "Before" excludes the specified calendar date. Each deadline is evaluated independently, so more than one market can resolve to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 30 · 4:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2034 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2034 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCEOLVMH-01JAN34-01JAN34
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.