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Club World Cup Host·closes in 28mo

Will Spain or Portugal be announced as hosts for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup?

YES means Spain or Portugal

24h volume
0
970 lifetime
Open interest
350
Spread
74¢
20 × 20 at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 98¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15399¢
  • ask10098¢
  • ask3496¢
  • ask280¢
  • ask2076¢
spread74¢mid 39¢
  • bid202¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spain or Portugal are announced as hosts for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.

Once an official host for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup is announced by any of the Source Agencies, the markets for any host country/countries will resolve to Yes, and all other markets will resolve to No. If multiple host countries are announced to host the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup, all markets pertaining to any of the named host countries will resolve to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 9 · 11:51 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCLUBWCHOST-2029-ESPPORMAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
29d ago10¢47bought yes
1mo ago28¢3.97bought yes
2mo ago76¢2bought yes
2mo ago57¢3.4bought yes
2mo ago23¢33bought yes
2mo ago21¢12bought yes
2mo ago22¢5bought yes
2mo ago23¢4.82bought yes
2mo ago21¢4.51bought yes
2mo ago13¢0.45bought no
2mo ago18¢100bought no
2mo ago23¢67bought no
2mo ago23¢33bought no
2mo ago29¢3.28bought yes
2mo ago28¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.