KXCOMMISHFDA·closes in 17mo

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028?

YES means Before Feb 1, 2028

24h volume
0
256 lifetime
Open interest
249
Spread
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
36%

A YES contract costs 62¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 45¢

YES bid / ask
55¢ / 62¢
NO bid / ask
38¢ / 45¢
Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask91791¢
  • ask61890¢
  • ask12987¢
  • ask1386¢
  • ask10084¢
  • ask11683¢
  • ask20063¢
  • ask562¢
spreadmid 59¢
  • bid555¢
  • bid20054¢
  • bid24313¢
  • bid53712¢
  • bid14
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Feb 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.

opened
Aug 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCOMMISHFDA-26AUG20-FEB01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago36¢44bought no
11d ago74¢5bought no
23d ago78¢200bought no
23d ago86¢7.77bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.