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Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration·closes in 3mo

Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2027

24h volume
0
3,236 lifetime
Open interest
2,281
+2,281 over 90d
Spread
6¢
5 × 15 at the touch
24h range
22¢ – 67¢
34 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%

A YES contract costs 42¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 42¢
NO bid / ask
58¢ / 64¢
24h low 22¢24h high 67¢
Recent buying10% YES · 90% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask39288¢
  • ask2,25987¢
  • ask1,07086¢
  • ask48985¢
  • ask48670¢
  • ask5567¢
  • ask20043¢
  • ask1542¢
spread6¢mid 39¢
  • bid536¢
  • bid37735¢
  • bid20034¢
  • bid42311¢
  • bid333¢
  • bid4,9312¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Heidi Overton is the first person confirmed as Commissioner of the Food and Drug Administration before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCOMMISHFDA-26AUG20-JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 34 trades, 10% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago34¢26bought yes
5d ago33¢30bought yes
5d ago34¢200bought no
5d ago42¢200bought yes
5d ago42¢15bought yes
6d ago36¢60bought yes
10d ago31¢28bought no
23d ago57¢200bought no
23d ago60¢200bought no
23d ago61¢5bought no
25d ago60¢120bought no
26d ago61¢200bought no
26d ago22¢69bought no
26d ago62¢5bought no
26d ago24¢48bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.