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Copa America Host·closes in 16mo

Will Argentina, Uruguay, or Paraguay be announced as hosts for the 2028 Copa America?

YES means Argentina, Uruguay, or Paraguay

24h volume
0
416 lifetime
Open interest
113
+113 over 90d
Spread
12¢
0 × 7.79 at the touch
24h range
–
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 100¢
Recent buying64% YES · 36% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volJul 20Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4686¢
  • ask9076¢
  • ask6765¢
  • ask4861¢
  • ask2760¢
  • ask459¢
  • ask1151¢
  • ask7.7912¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Argentina, Uruguay, or Paraguay are announced as hosts for the 2028 Copa America and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Once an official host for the 2028 Copa America is announced by any of the Source Agencies, the markets for any host country/countries will resolve to Yes, and all other markets will resolve to No. If multiple host countries are announced to host the 2028 Copa America, all markets pertaining to any of the named host countries will resolve to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 14 · 5:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXCOPAAMERICAHOST-28-ARGURGPAR
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 20 trades, 64% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2d ago8¢7.84bought no
    6d ago12¢7.84bought yes
    7d ago10¢38bought yes
    13d ago6¢16bought yes
    13d ago5¢11bought no
    13d ago9¢15bought no
    13d ago8¢100bought no
    19d ago17¢51bought yes
    19d ago16¢5bought yes
    27d ago10¢14bought no
    27d ago18¢14bought yes
    29d ago16¢5bought yes
    29d ago17¢6.39bought yes
    1mo ago15¢0.01bought no
    1mo ago15¢0.01bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.