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CPI·closes in 4mo

Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in December 2026?

YES means Above 0.5%

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 30d
Spread
27¢
700 × 400 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 90¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2.961¢
  • ask93958¢
  • ask44257¢
  • ask5456¢
  • ask5655¢
  • ask20039¢
  • ask20038¢
  • ask40037¢
spread27¢mid 24¢
  • bid70010¢
  • bid1499¢
  • bid1724¢
  • bid1352¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.5% in December 2026, as reported to one decimal place, then the market resolves to Yes.

Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 17 · 3:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 13, 2027 · 1:25 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 13, 2027 · 2:56 PM UTC
floor
0.5
ticker
KXCPI-26DEC-T0.5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.