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CPI·closes in 3mo

Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in November 2026?

YES means Above 0.2%

24h volume
0
3,092 lifetime
Open interest
885
+609 over 7d
Spread
1¢
189 × 956 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%

A YES contract costs 46¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 55¢

YES bid / ask
45¢ / 46¢
NO bid / ask
54¢ / 55¢
Recent buying16% YES · 84% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8686¢
  • ask6285¢
  • ask1284¢
  • ask42573¢
  • ask11571¢
  • ask170¢
  • ask28355¢
  • ask95646¢
spread1¢mid 45¢
  • bid18945¢
  • bid62243¢
  • bid58839¢
  • bid295¢
  • bid524¢
  • bid2,1383¢
  • bid2,8302¢
  • bid3,2401¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.2% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 20 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 10 · 1:25 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 10 · 2:56 PM UTC
floor
0.2
ticker
KXCPI-26NOV-T0.2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 16% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago45¢3bought no
2d ago45¢1bought no
2d ago45¢7bought no
5d ago59¢100bought no
5d ago58¢47bought no
5d ago58¢53bought no
5d ago63¢215bought no
5d ago63¢40bought no
5d ago63¢200bought no
5d ago63¢200bought no
5d ago63¢0.01bought no
5d ago64¢1bought yes
5d ago64¢50bought no
8d ago34¢31bought no
8d ago35¢28bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.