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CPI·closes in 3mo

Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in November 2026?

YES means Above 0.5%

24h volume
0
4,653 lifetime
Open interest
706
+9 over 7d
Spread
1¢
618 × 529 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 87¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1158¢
  • ask157¢
  • ask8335¢
  • ask4234¢
  • ask1725¢
  • ask19219¢
  • ask10018¢
  • ask52914¢
spread1¢mid 14¢
  • bid61813¢
  • bid13612¢
  • bid5011¢
  • bid10010¢
  • bid1427¢
  • bid836¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid1254¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.5% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 20 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 10 · 1:25 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 10 · 2:56 PM UTC
floor
0.5
ticker
KXCPI-26NOV-T0.5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago16¢13bought yes
3d ago12¢4bought no
3d ago16¢4bought yes
5d ago16¢4bought no
18d ago42¢5bought yes
22d ago42¢52bought yes
23d ago42¢4bought yes
29d ago20¢49bought yes
29d ago50¢30bought yes
29d ago48¢19bought yes
1mo ago43¢2bought yes
1mo ago1¢80bought yes
1mo ago42¢80bought yes
1mo ago43¢10bought yes
1mo ago43¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.