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CPI·closes in 24d

Will CPI rise more than 0.9% in September 2026?

YES means Above 0.9%

24h volume
14
4,280 lifetime
Open interest
4,214
+4,214 over 7d
Spread
2¢
0 × 1,261 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 3¢
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
24h low 3¢24h high 3¢
Recent buying2% YES · 98% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 18, 2:00 AMSep 20, 10:00 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3.1668¢
  • ask5154¢
  • ask5024¢
  • ask2123¢
  • ask1757¢
  • ask1006¢
  • ask5333¢
  • ask1,2612¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.9% (single-decimal) in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (October 14, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 17 · 3:30 PM UTC
    closes
    Oct 14 · 12:25 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Oct 14 · 1:56 PM UTC
    floor
    0.9
    ticker
    KXCPI-26SEP-T0.9
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 15 trades, 2% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    9h ago3¢14bought yes
    1d ago3¢3.12bought yes
    2d ago1¢100bought no
    2d ago1¢1,000bought no
    2d ago2¢112bought no
    2d ago2¢200bought no
    2d ago4¢200bought no
    2d ago5¢66bought no
    2d ago3¢2,000bought no
    2d ago5¢100bought no
    2d ago3¢200bought no
    2d ago5¢200bought no
    3d ago7¢49bought yes
    3d ago7¢1.04bought yes
    3d ago4¢35bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.