Carvana Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Carvana Co. report Above 790 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?

YES means Above 790 thousand

24h volume
0
143 lifetime
Open interest
119
+0 over 30d
Spread
5 × 3.93 at the touch
24h range
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
90%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
10%

costs 11¢

YES bid / ask
89¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
/ 11¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20098¢
  • ask3.9397¢
spreadmid 93¢
  • bid589¢
  • bid20088¢
  • bid20356¢
  • bid25740¢
  • bid85439¢
  • bid1,36022¢
  • bid79418¢
  • bid1,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Carvana Co. reports Above 790000 retail vehicle unit sales in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
790000
ticker
KXCVNAA-28JANUNITS-790000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
27d ago90¢1.07bought yes
2mo ago97¢5bought yes
2mo ago84¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.