Carvana Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Carvana Co. report Above 810 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?

YES means Above 810 thousand

24h volume
0
338 lifetime
Open interest
307
+197 over 90d
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
72%

A YES contract costs 88¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
28%

costs 21¢

YES bid / ask
79¢ / 88¢
NO bid / ask
12¢ / 21¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

50¢75¢100¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20088¢
spreadmid 84¢
  • bid579¢
  • bid20078¢
  • bid20744¢
  • bid54935¢
  • bid25634¢
  • bid79333¢
  • bid55715¢
  • bid3,220
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Carvana Co. reports Above 810000 retail vehicle unit sales in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
810000
ticker
KXCVNAA-28JANUNITS-810000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago71¢2.35bought yes
1mo ago72¢200bought yes
1mo ago71¢2.65bought yes
2mo ago96¢5bought yes
2mo ago64¢2.65bought no
2mo ago68¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.