Will Carvana Co. report Above 820 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?
YES means Above 820 thousand
- 24h volume
- 2.13
- 597 lifetime
- Open interest
- 565
- +432 over 90d
- Spread
- 9¢
- 5 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- 83¢ – 83¢
- 13 recent trades
A YES contract costs 83¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 26¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask1,00097¢
- ask20096¢
- ask50090¢
- ask4789¢
- ask20083¢
- bid574¢
- bid20073¢
- bid20242¢
- bid4841¢
- bid4938¢
- bid1,01237¢
- bid15115¢
- bid26414¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Carvana Co. reports Above 820000 retail vehicle unit sales in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- opened
- Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
- closes
- Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 820000
- ticker
- KXCVNAA-28JANUNITS-820000
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 13 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 83¢ | 2.13 | bought yes |
| 8d ago | 76¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 9d ago | 75¢ | 1.28 | bought yes |
| 9d ago | 70¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 61¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 62¢ | 7 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 61¢ | 8 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 52¢ | 1.59 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 53¢ | 3 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 64¢ | 4.85 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 62¢ | 0.15 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 55¢ | 2.13 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 58¢ | 5 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.