galdor.xyz
Admin
Carvana Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Carvana Co. report Above 830 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?

YES means Above 830 thousand

24h volume
0
371 lifetime
Open interest
243
+241 over 90d
Spread
7¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
43%

A YES contract costs 41¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
57%

costs 66¢

YES bid / ask
34¢ / 41¢
NO bid / ask
59¢ / 66¢
Recent buying17% YES · 83% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5697¢
  • ask50080¢
  • ask32078¢
  • ask20075¢
  • ask774¢
  • ask20043¢
  • ask1042¢
  • ask541¢
spread7¢mid 38¢
  • bid534¢
  • bid20033¢
  • bid14018¢
  • bid20017¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Carvana Co. reports Above 830000 retail vehicle unit sales in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
830000
ticker
KXCVNAA-28JANUNITS-830000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 17% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago43¢10bought no
6d ago41¢8.79bought no
6d ago41¢5bought no
8d ago49¢4bought yes
8d ago49¢14bought yes
9d ago49¢0.03bought yes
9d ago48¢1.71bought yes
9d ago48¢3.29bought yes
9d ago49¢15bought yes
1mo ago49¢3.29bought yes
1mo ago41¢3.29bought no
1mo ago40¢200bought no
1mo ago40¢1.89bought no
2mo ago54¢5bought yes
2mo ago48¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.