KXCVNAA·closes in 19mo

Will Carvana Co. report Above 850 thousand retail vehicle unit sales in 2026?

YES means Above 850 thousand

24h volume
0
293 lifetime
Open interest
267
+0 over 24h
Spread
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 84¢
Recent buying2% YES · 98% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

10¢15¢20¢25¢30¢volSep 20, 8:45 PMSep 20, 11:04 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Carvana Co. reports Above 850000 retail vehicle unit sales in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
850000
ticker
KXCVNAA-28JANUNITS-850000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 2% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago19¢1.63bought no
6d ago19¢5bought no
8d ago74¢6.63bought yes
2mo ago16¢15bought no
2mo ago17¢5bought no
2mo ago23¢5bought no
2mo ago22¢250bought no
2mo ago29¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.