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KXDEBTLIMITINCREASE·closes in 3mo

Will legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt become law before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2027

24h volume
0
2,318 lifetime
Open interest
1,328
+0 over 7d
Spread
5¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
24%

A YES contract costs 31¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
76%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 31¢
NO bid / ask
69¢ / 74¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 15Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Jul 30 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXDEBTLIMITINCREASE-26JUL-27JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago24¢10bought no
1mo ago24¢11bought no
1mo ago25¢11bought no
1mo ago25¢20bought no
1mo ago25¢5bought no
1mo ago26¢1.66bought no
1mo ago26¢0.63bought no
1mo ago25¢124bought no
1mo ago27¢1.66bought no
1mo ago26¢5bought no
1mo ago31¢32bought yes
2mo ago30¢50bought yes
2mo ago30¢36bought yes
2mo ago25¢100bought yes
2mo ago27¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.