Debt-limit increase·closes in 5mo

Will legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt become law before Mar 1, 2027?

YES means Before Mar 1, 2027

24h volume
0
341 lifetime
Open interest
339
+0 over 24h
Spread
5 × 205 at the touch
24h range
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 73¢

YES bid / ask
27¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 73¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

20¢25¢30¢35¢40¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 20, 11:55 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20099¢
  • ask2,56897¢
  • ask25696¢
  • ask20534¢
spreadmid 31¢
  • bid527¢
  • bid3426¢
  • bid20025¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If legislation that increases the statutory limit on the public debt has become law after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Jul 30 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Mar 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXDEBTLIMITINCREASE-26JUL-27MAR01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago26¢100bought yes
2mo ago27¢200bought yes
2mo ago22¢8.62bought yes
2mo ago22¢0.51bought yes
2mo ago22¢5.09bought yes
2mo ago22¢6.62bought yes
2mo ago22¢7.66bought yes
2mo ago22¢10bought yes
2mo ago17¢1bought no
2mo ago48¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.