Deel v Rippling·closes in 162mo

Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?

YES means Rippling

24h volume
0
4,196 lifetime
Open interest
1,106
−246 over 7d
Spread
505 × 505 at the touch
24h range
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
33%

A YES contract costs 41¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
67%

costs 67¢

YES bid / ask
33¢ / 41¢
NO bid / ask
59¢ / 67¢
Recent buying29% YES · 71% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,55599¢
  • ask1,11198¢
  • ask1,11197¢
  • ask5196¢
  • ask2486¢
  • ask87782¢
  • ask50541¢
spreadmid 37¢
  • bid50533¢
  • bid1,269
  • bid1,111
  • bid1,159
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rippling confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Aug 6, 2025 · 9:10 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2040 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXDEELRIP-40-RIPP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 29% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago33¢176bought no
5d ago33¢70bought no
13d ago40¢70bought yes
14d ago41¢24bought yes
25d ago41¢4.99bought yes
25d ago41¢9.01bought yes
1mo ago33¢20bought no
1mo ago44¢1.27bought yes
1mo ago44¢1bought yes
1mo ago37¢1bought no
2mo ago37¢3bought no
2mo ago44¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.