Deel v Rippling·closes in 160mo

Will Deel or Rippling IPO first?

YES means Rippling

24h volume
0
4,399 lifetime
Open interest
1,106
+0 over 30d
Spread
8¢
505 × 505 at the touch
24h range
–
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%

A YES contract costs 43¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 65¢

YES bid / ask
35¢ / 43¢
NO bid / ask
57¢ / 65¢
Recent buying18% YES · 82% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volOct 6Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5,55599¢
  • ask1,11297¢
  • ask4196¢
  • ask4286¢
  • ask4081¢
  • ask50543¢
spread8¢mid 39¢
  • bid50535¢
  • bid5111¢
  • bid1,1123¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Rippling confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Aug 6, 2025 · 9:10 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2040 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXDEELRIP-40-RIPP
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 92¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 18% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19d ago34¢100bought no
20d ago33¢100bought no
1mo ago41¢3bought yes
2mo ago33¢176bought no
2mo ago33¢70bought no
2mo ago40¢70bought yes
2mo ago41¢24bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.