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DOE eliminated·closes in 28mo

Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?

YES means Before Jan 20, 2029

24h volume
576
164.2k lifetime
Open interest
26.3k
Spread
5¢
51 × 14 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 19¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%−1

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 87¢
24h low 15¢24h high 19¢
Recent buying30% YES · 70% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Department of Education is sunsetted or eliminated entirely before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department that is no longer titled the “Department of Education”, then the market will resolve to Yes

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 21, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXDOED-29-JAN20
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago16¢5bought no
3h ago16¢4.42bought no
8h ago17¢2bought yes
8h ago17¢11bought yes
8h ago19¢5.89bought yes
11h ago15¢0.58bought no
14h ago17¢409bought yes
14h ago17¢138bought yes
1d ago17¢112bought yes
1d ago16¢3bought yes
2d ago15¢5bought yes
2d ago15¢36bought yes
2d ago15¢11bought yes
2d ago15¢28bought yes
2d ago15¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.