DOE Strategic Petroleum Reserve tenders·closes in 16mo

Will the U.S. Department of Energy announce issuing a solicitation to exchange or sell crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Before Jan 1, 2028

24h volume: 0; 0 lifetime
Open interest: 0; +0 over 7d
Spread: 8¢; 5 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

100%

costs 40¢

YES bid / ask

60¢ / 68¢

NO bid / ask

32¢ / 40¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask10099¢
ask49392¢
ask20091¢
ask65090¢
ask14685¢
ask5083¢
ask11682¢
ask20068¢

spread8¢mid 64¢

bid560¢
bid20059¢
bid51615¢
bid24414¢
bid1001¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the U.S. Department of Energy announces issuing a solicitation to exchange or sell crude oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

A solicitation means a competitive Request for Proposal or Notice of Sale formally issued by the U.S. Department of Energy and open for bids. The solicitation must be newly issued after this market opens. An award announcement, amendment, extension or re-issuance of a solicitation issued before that date does NOT count A solicitation to purchase or acquire crude oil to refill the Reserve does NOT count A statement of intent, a budget proposal, congressional testimony or an inventory report that does not itself open a bidding process does NOT count A solicitation that is issued and later cancelled before award still counts, because the trigger is the issuance

Settlement sources

the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Petroleum Reserves

opened: Aug 24 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXDOESPRTENDER-26AUG-28JAN01

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.