Dogecoin max·closes in 2mo

Will DOGE trimmed mean be above $0.12 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Above $0.12

24h volume
0
2,043 lifetime
Open interest
478
+56 over 90d
Spread
5¢
8.83 × 7.16 at the touch
24h range
–
31 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 97¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 7Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask197¢
  • ask15039¢
  • ask40015¢
  • ask5414¢
  • ask110¢
  • ask209¢
  • ask7.168¢
spread5¢mid 5¢
  • bid8.833¢
  • bid511¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of DOGE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 0.12, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF DOGEUSD_RTI price for DOGE. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:46 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
0.12
ticker
KXDOGEMAXY-DOGE-26DEC31-012
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 31 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago1¢1.99bought no
6d ago4¢10bought no
21d ago15¢1bought no
21d ago15¢2bought no
23d ago33¢0.47bought yes
23d ago14¢0.47bought no
24d ago29¢1bought no
24d ago27¢1bought no
24d ago29¢1bought no
24d ago25¢1bought no
24d ago9¢1.7bought no
24d ago28¢5bought no
24d ago35¢3bought yes
24d ago35¢1bought yes
24d ago35¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.