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Will DOGE trimmed mean be above $0.14 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Above $0.14

24h volume
0
1,509 lifetime
Open interest
1,364
Spread
29¢
6 × 101 at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
39%

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
61%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 92¢
Recent buying10% YES · 90% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of DOGE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever above $ 0.14, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF DOGEUSD_RTI price for DOGE. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:46 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
0.14
ticker
KXDOGEMAXY-DOGE-26DEC31-014
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 10% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16d ago39¢12bought yes
20d ago20¢1bought yes
20d ago20¢5bought yes
22d ago26¢50bought no
22d ago26¢50bought no
25d ago29¢50bought no
25d ago29¢50bought no
25d ago30¢5bought no
27d ago50¢10bought yes
29d ago26¢0.91bought yes
29d ago26¢21bought yes
1mo ago26¢78bought yes
1mo ago25¢20bought yes
2mo ago19¢100bought no
2mo ago22¢17bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.