DOGE min yearly·closes in 3mo

Will DOGE trimmed mean be below $0.04 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Below $0.04

24h volume
0
3,117 lifetime
Open interest
146
+0 over 7d
Spread
1.66 × 100 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
/ 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 93¢
Recent buying58% YES · 42% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00028¢
  • ask4627¢
  • ask10013¢
spreadmid 10¢
  • bid1.66
  • bid5
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of DOGE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $0.04, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF DOGEUSD_RTI price for DOGE. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:43 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
cap
0.04
ticker
KXDOGEMINY-DOGE-26DEC31-004
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago16¢2.47bought no
2mo ago17¢2bought no
2mo ago32¢100bought yes
2mo ago32¢23bought yes
2mo ago32¢10bought yes
2mo ago32¢1bought yes
2mo ago26¢100bought yes
2mo ago26¢100bought yes
2mo ago26¢100bought yes
2mo ago26¢100bought yes
2mo ago28¢1bought yes
2mo ago25¢100bought yes
2mo ago25¢100bought yes
2mo ago25¢100bought yes
2mo ago25¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.