DOGE min yearly·closes in 3mo

Will DOGE trimmed mean be below $0.06 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Below $0.06

24h volume
0
2,068 lifetime
Open interest
191
+0 over 24h
Spread
15¢
58 × 11 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%

A YES contract costs 50¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 65¢

YES bid / ask
35¢ / 50¢
NO bid / ask
50¢ / 65¢
Recent buying74% YES · 26% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

30¢40¢50¢volSep 20, 3:20 AMSep 21, 3:17 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00065¢
  • ask5364¢
  • ask10154¢
  • ask152¢
  • ask1150¢
spread15¢mid 43¢
  • bid5835¢
  • bid10034¢
  • bid133¢
  • bid131¢
  • bid2.4325¢
  • bid1420¢
  • bid5519¢
  • bid2,00018¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of DOGE after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $0.06, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF DOGEUSD_RTI price for DOGE. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:43 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
cap
0.06
ticker
KXDOGEMINY-DOGE-26DEC31-006
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 74% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago46¢8.19bought no
8d ago61¢8.19bought yes
12d ago40¢14bought yes
12d ago39¢1bought yes
12d ago39¢50bought yes
12d ago39¢50bought yes
14d ago34¢3bought yes
14d ago34¢7bought yes
14d ago34¢14bought yes
14d ago34¢26bought yes
14d ago33¢5bought yes
14d ago34¢28bought yes
15d ago31¢2.18bought no
15d ago25¢7.57bought no
15d ago35¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.