Democratic presidential primaries·closes in 26mo

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

YES means Jon Stewart

24h volume: 0; 45 lifetime
Open interest: 45; +0 over 30d
Spread: 5¢; 0 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask

0¢ / 5¢

NO bid / ask

95¢ / 100¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Stewart wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources

The Source Agencies are

opened: Jul 24 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes: Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
ticker: KXDPRESPRIMARY-28SC-JSTE

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.