Will the Democratic party hold exactly 51 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?
YES means 51
- 24h volume
- 294
- 772 lifetime
- Open interest
- 765
- +176 over 24h
- Spread
- 3¢
- 5 × 2,000 at the touch
- 24h range
- 8¢ – 8¢
- 8 recent trades
A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 96¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2,00095¢
- ask20094¢
- ask5493¢
- ask1,46452¢
- ask2,0007¢
- bid54¢
- bid2,0003¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Democratic party has exactly 51 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- May 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 51
- cap
- 51
- ticker
- KXDSENATESEATS-29-E51
Recent trades
Over the last 8 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 8¢ | 176 | bought yes |
| 10h ago | 8¢ | 117 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 8¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 9¢ | 257 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 9¢ | 209 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 9¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 7¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 3 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.