Will the Democratic party hold exactly 53 Senate seats in the 121st Congress?
YES means 53
- 24h volume
- 235
- 505 lifetime
- Open interest
- 498
- +497 over 30d
- Spread
- 3¢
- 5 × 2,000 at the touch
- 24h range
- 8¢ – 8¢
- 7 recent trades
A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 96¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2,01895¢
- ask4089¢
- ask5,00088¢
- ask20087¢
- ask2,0007¢
- bid54¢
- bid2,0003¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Democratic party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- May 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 53
- cap
- 53
- ticker
- KXDSENATESEATS-29-E53
Recent trades
Over the last 7 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 8¢ | 176 | bought yes |
| 9h ago | 8¢ | 59 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 8¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 9¢ | 257 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 9¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 7¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 3 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.