Democratic Presidential ticket·closes in 26mo

Will Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket?

YES means Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear

24h volume: 0; 378 lifetime
Open interest: 377
Spread: 2¢; 49 × 644 at the touch
24h range: –; 2 recent trades

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

97%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask

1¢ / 3¢

NO bid / ask

97¢ / 99¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask99946¢
ask99945¢
ask1,76539¢
ask1011¢
ask106¢
ask1,0006¢
ask2,0005¢
ask6443¢

spread2¢mid 2¢

bid491¢
bid2000¢
bid1,0000¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Democratic presidential nominee is Gavin Newsom AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Andy Beshear in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Order matters: the first person listed is the presidential nominee and the second is the vice presidential nominee. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Presidential Nominee (PRESNOM), Vice Presidential Nominee (VPRESNOM). The presidential nominee (listed first) is resolved under PRESNOM and the vice presidential nominee (listed second) is resolved under VPRESNOM.

Settlement sources

opened: Apr 17 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 14, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXDTICKET-28NOV07-GNEWABES

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
29d ago	3¢	156	bought yes
1mo ago	3¢	200	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.