Ebay Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will eBay Inc. report Above $89.5 billion gross merchandise volume in 2026?

YES means Above $89.5 billion

24h volume
0
330 lifetime
Open interest
129
+0 over 7d
Spread
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 82¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If eBay Inc. reports Above 89500000000.0 gross merchandise volume in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
89500000000
ticker
KXEBAYA-28JANGMV-89500000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
25d ago18¢5bought yes
1mo ago17¢2bought yes
2mo ago26¢5bought no
2mo ago25¢115bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.