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Will BMW Release an electric M3·closes in 16mo

When will BMW release Fully Electric M3 to the public?

YES means Fully Electric M3

24h volume
1.17
20.1k lifetime
Open interest
6,001
−1.17 over 24h
Spread
7¢
0.35 × 201 at the touch
24h range
87¢ – 87¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
87%−12

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
13%

costs 13¢

YES bid / ask
87¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 13¢
24h low 87¢24h high 87¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 20, 9:06 PMSep 21, 2:48 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7099¢
  • ask20194¢
spread7¢mid 91¢
  • bid0.3587¢
  • bid20086¢
  • bid4.9861¢
  • bid4.7440¢
  • bid7235¢
  • bid34934¢
  • bid20027¢
  • bid2610¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If BMW releases a Fully Electric M3 to the public before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 31, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXELECTRICM3-28-EM3
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will BMW release a Fully Electric M3 before 2028?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago87¢0.01bought no
3h ago87¢1.16bought no
1d ago99¢1.51bought yes
2d ago94¢84bought yes
3d ago99¢84bought yes
3d ago99¢1.17bought yes
7d ago92¢200bought yes
7d ago92¢0.01bought yes
9d ago85¢6bought no
10d ago92¢0.76bought yes
13d ago91¢6bought yes
13d ago86¢67bought no
15d ago87¢5.35bought no
15d ago93¢5.35bought yes
16d ago88¢4.08bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.