Will the President sign between 400 and 449 Executive Orders between Jan 20, 2025 and Jan 20, 2029?
YES means Between 400 and 449
- 24h volume
- 0
- 6,515 lifetime
- Open interest
- 5,787
- Spread
- 2¢
- 559 × 10 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 6 recent trades
A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 82¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask3,59597¢
- ask1497¢
- ask4597¢
- ask3197¢
- ask1824¢
- ask50022¢
- ask13621¢
- ask1020¢
- bid55918¢
- bid63¢
- bid340¢
- bid490¢
- bid1,0000¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the President signs between 400 and 449 Executive Orders during his second term, then the market resolves to Yes.
An Executive Order must be formally titled "Executive Order" followed by a number, signed by the President, and published in the Federal Register. Presidential Memoranda, Proclamations, Determinations, and other executive actions that are not formally numbered Executive Orders do not count. The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to, using ET timezone. Classified Executive Orders count if acknowledged by number. Executive Orders that are later revoked still count for the period they were signed. The Federal Register is the primary source; alternative sources are used only if the Federal Register explicitly states data is incomplete.
- opened
- Sep 24, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 21, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 3, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 400
- cap
- 449
- ticker
- KXEOTRUMPTERM-29JAN20-424
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 86¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 6 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18d ago | 19¢ | 56 | bought no |
| 18d ago | 22¢ | 56 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 18¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 17¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 17¢ | 90 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 17¢ | 300 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.