Ethereum above $3,000 by a date·closes in 26d

Will Ethereum exceed $3,000 by Nov 30, 2026?

YES means Above $3,000

24h volume: 47; 47 lifetime
Open interest: 47; +47 over 24h
Spread: 10¢; 200 × 200 at the touch
24h range: 20¢ – 20¢; 1 recent trades

Chance of YES

20%

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

80%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask

10¢ / 20¢

NO bid / ask

80¢ / 90¢

24h low 20¢24h high 20¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask4699¢
ask197¢
ask192¢
ask47075¢
ask5174¢
ask20020¢

spread10¢mid 15¢

bid20010¢
bid42¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a qualifying one-minute average of the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) is above $3,000 after issuance at Nov 3, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST and before Nov 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.

The source is CF Benchmarks. Each minute after issuance and before the deadline is evaluated separately: discard the highest 20% and lowest 20% of ETHUSD_RTI observations in that minute and average the remaining 60%. The qualifying average must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. An earlier qualifying minute counts even if Ethereum subsequently falls below the threshold. Last trading is the earlier of the first 10:00 AM ET following a qualifying occurrence or the stated deadline. Expiration follows the effective ETHMINMAX amendment: the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following a qualifying occurrence, the stated deadline, the first 10:00 AM ET after the deadline that data is available, or one month after the selected date. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Revisions after expiration are disregarded.

Settlement sources

CF Benchmarks

opened: Nov 3 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes: Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor: 3000
ticker: KXETHABOVE3000BY-30NOV262359-300000-YES

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Ethereum exceed $3,000 by Nov 30, 2026?.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
3h ago	20¢	47	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.