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Ethereum price Above/below·closed · YES

Ethereum price at Nov 4, 2026 at 10pm EST?

YES means $2,415 or above

24h volume
675
675 lifetime
Open interest
377
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
40 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 10 PM EST is above 2414.99 at 10 PM EST on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 5 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:05 AM UTC
floor
2414.99
ticker
KXETHD-26NOV0422-T2414.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 40 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago99¢4bought yes
1h ago98¢7bought no
1h ago98¢30bought no
1h ago98¢5bought no
1h ago97¢82bought no
1h ago97¢20bought no
1h ago98¢5bought no
1h ago97¢10bought no
1h ago98¢10bought no
1h ago98¢5bought yes
1h ago96¢45bought no
2h ago94¢22bought yes
2h ago95¢20bought yes
2h ago94¢5.29bought yes
2h ago96¢2.07bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.