ETH Monthly One touch·closes in 26d

Will ETH trimmed mean be above $3500.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026?

YES means Above $3,500.00

24h volume
4,172
7,231 lifetime
Open interest
7,231
+7,231 over 7d
Spread
2¢
5,200 × 2,667 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 6¢
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%+2

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 98¢
24h low 3¢24h high 6¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volNov 2, 4:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask197¢
  • ask191¢
  • ask6007¢
  • ask3,2506¢
  • ask2,6674¢
spread2¢mid 3¢
  • bid5,2002¢
  • bid1,2221¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of ETH after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Nov 30, 2026 is ever above $ 3500.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF ETHUSD_RTI price for ETH. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 1 · 4:59 AM UTC
floor
3500
ticker
KXETHMAXMON-ETH-26NOV30-350000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago4¢928bought yes
10h ago6¢281bought yes
10h ago4¢250bought yes
10h ago4¢200bought yes
10h ago4¢498bought yes
10h ago4¢496bought yes
10h ago4¢495bought yes
10h ago4¢497bought yes
10h ago4¢500bought yes
10h ago4¢1bought yes
10h ago3¢25bought yes
1d ago2¢1,750bought yes
1d ago2¢58bought yes
3d ago4¢1,249bought yes
3d ago3¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.