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How high will Ethereum get this year?·closes in 3mo

Will Ethereum reach above $4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?

YES means Above $4,000.00

24h volume
2,650
310.0k lifetime
Open interest
92.4k
+16.8k over 90d
Spread
2¢
194 × 109 at the touch
24h range
19¢ – 22¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%+1

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 81¢
24h low 19¢24h high 22¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask19228¢
  • ask6127¢
  • ask3026¢
  • ask3,06625¢
  • ask10824¢
  • ask1123¢
  • ask20522¢
  • ask10921¢
spread2¢mid 20¢
  • bid19419¢
  • bid3,51118¢
  • bid1016¢
  • bid114¢
  • bid6.6613¢
  • bid39812¢
  • bid1,12411¢
  • bid17610¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
4000
ticker
KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4000.00
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago19¢23bought no
10h ago20¢100bought yes
10h ago20¢100bought yes
10h ago21¢26bought yes
12h ago19¢95bought yes
14h ago21¢0.04bought yes
14h ago22¢710bought yes
14h ago21¢11bought yes
14h ago21¢7.98bought yes
14h ago21¢1bought yes
14h ago21¢100bought yes
14h ago21¢9.02bought yes
15h ago22¢1,361bought yes
15h ago20¢1bought yes
15h ago19¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.