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How high will Ethereum get this year?·closes in 3mo

Will Ethereum reach above $4500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?

YES means Above $4,500.00

24h volume
0
268.7k lifetime
Open interest
63.1k
+0 over 24h
Spread
1¢
100 × 40 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 87¢
Recent buying63% YES · 37% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 20, 1:53 AMSep 21, 1:52 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20050¢
  • ask2,00048¢
  • ask15028¢
  • ask2,10027¢
  • ask10026¢
  • ask3,00017¢
  • ask1,00016¢
  • ask4014¢
spread1¢mid 14¢
  • bid10013¢
  • bid20212¢
  • bid3,51310¢
  • bid2009¢
  • bid3008¢
  • bid1307¢
  • bid3016¢
  • bid355¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4500.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
4500
ticker
KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-4500.00
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 63% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago11¢154bought yes
2d ago11¢192bought yes
2d ago11¢77bought yes
2d ago10¢100bought yes
2d ago9¢99bought yes
2d ago9¢700bought yes
2d ago10¢0.83bought yes
3d ago8¢99bought no
3d ago8¢89bought no
3d ago8¢100bought no
4d ago9¢1bought yes
5d ago8¢1bought no
6d ago8¢0.01bought no
6d ago9¢20bought yes
7d ago10¢0.01bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.