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How high will Ethereum get this year?·closes in 3mo

Will Ethereum reach above $5000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM?

YES means Above $5,000.00

24h volume
429
358.6k lifetime
Open interest
102.6k
−29 over 24h
Spread
1¢
100 × 4,400 at the touch
24h range
9¢ – 13¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%+1

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 88¢
24h low 9¢24h high 13¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 20, 6:42 AMSep 21, 6:39 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2042¢
  • ask2,00024¢
  • ask1123¢
  • ask2819¢
  • ask1,17317¢
  • ask17016¢
  • ask96015¢
  • ask4,40013¢
spread1¢mid 13¢
  • bid10012¢
  • bid24511¢
  • bid1049¢
  • bid938¢
  • bid3437¢
  • bid2466¢
  • bid3,4005¢
  • bid5004¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 5000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 1 · 5:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
5000
ticker
KXETHMAXY-27JAN01-5000.00
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20m ago12¢85bought no
5h ago12¢15bought no
6h ago12¢82bought no
6h ago12¢16bought no
6h ago12¢30bought no
7h ago12¢16bought no
7h ago12¢30bought no
8h ago12¢30bought no
12h ago11¢0.01bought yes
12h ago11¢1.29bought yes
14h ago12¢100bought no
14h ago13¢1.51bought no
14h ago13¢5bought no
15h ago12¢17bought no
24h ago9¢0.01bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.