ETH price EOY ·closes in 3mo

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 2,000 to 2,249.99

24h volume
0
1.25M lifetime
Open interest
52.3k
Spread
127 × 10 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 90¢
Recent buying8% YES · 92% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2912¢
  • ask812¢
  • ask7311¢
  • ask1311¢
  • ask1111¢
  • ask6711¢
  • ask5411¢
  • ask1011¢
spreadmid 10¢
  • bid12710¢
  • bid36210¢
  • bid1610¢
  • bid4.1910¢
  • bid2610¢
  • bid1.5810¢
  • bid4310¢
  • bid23110¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between 2000.00-2249.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
2000
cap
2249.99
ticker
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2125
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 8% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago11¢7bought no
1d ago11¢1bought no
1d ago11¢1bought no
1d ago11¢1bought no
1d ago11¢502bought no
1d ago11¢1bought no
1d ago11¢82bought no
1d ago11¢1.69bought no
1d ago11¢8.74bought no
1d ago11¢449bought no
1d ago11¢1.57bought no
2d ago11¢2.34bought no
2d ago11¢2.34bought no
2d ago11¢2.34bought no
2d ago11¢0.77bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.