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ETH price EOY ·closes in 3mo

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 2,750 to 2,999.99

24h volume
20
1.08M lifetime
Open interest
53.1k
Spread
1¢
2.34 × 17 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%+1

A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
NO bid / ask
87¢ / 89¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8.0514¢
  • ask4614¢
  • ask3.4914¢
  • ask4114¢
  • ask25013¢
  • ask3813¢
  • ask113¢
  • ask1713¢
spread1¢mid 12¢
  • bid2.3412¢
  • bid6711¢
  • bid1611¢
  • bid7511¢
  • bid3911¢
  • bid2.2711¢
  • bid3111¢
  • bid3111¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between 2750.00-2999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
2750
cap
2999.99
ticker
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2875
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago13¢12bought yes
5h ago13¢7.83bought yes
1d ago12¢10bought yes
1d ago12¢10bought yes
1d ago12¢249bought yes
2d ago12¢226bought yes
2d ago12¢2.6bought yes
2d ago12¢9.4bought yes
2d ago12¢10bought yes
2d ago11¢210bought yes
2d ago11¢44bought no
2d ago12¢50bought no
2d ago12¢16bought no
2d ago12¢50bought no
2d ago12¢60bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.