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ETH price EOY ·closes in 3mo

ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 2,500 to 2,749.99

24h volume
18
1.16M lifetime
Open interest
54.3k
Spread
0¢
0.78 × 235 at the touch
24h range
14¢ – 14¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 86¢
24h low 14¢24h high 14¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10119¢
  • ask7918¢
  • ask5718¢
  • ask5817¢
  • ask1317¢
  • ask23916¢
  • ask33114¢
  • ask23514¢
spread0¢mid 14¢
  • bid0.7814¢
  • bid3014¢
  • bid3.7614¢
  • bid5514¢
  • bid26313¢
  • bid2513¢
  • bid5713¢
  • bid6113¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' ETHUSD_RTI before 12 AM EST is between 2500.00-2749.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:05 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
2500
cap
2749.99
ticker
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2625
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago14¢18bought yes
2d ago14¢3.59bought yes
2d ago14¢0.15bought yes
2d ago14¢9.85bought yes
2d ago14¢150bought yes
3d ago14¢38bought yes
3d ago14¢0.18bought yes
3d ago14¢12bought yes
3d ago14¢250bought yes
3d ago14¢786bought yes
3d ago14¢143bought yes
3d ago14¢179bought yes
3d ago14¢525bought yes
3d ago14¢10bought yes
3d ago14¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.